Gragnano vs Sporting Fulgor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 2
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
FBC
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCF
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
SFM
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
3 - 2
NFR
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
SFM
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |