Gragnano vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
6 - 2
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 2
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
GEL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
USC
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
POM
3 - 1
ROC
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 2
ROC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
DTO
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
SIC
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |