Grafičar vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAV
2 - 0
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
GRA
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
MAV
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
VRS
2 - 3
GRA
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
MNS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SME
1 - 0
RSM
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SME
1 - 1
RSM
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 4
SME
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SME
0 - 0
TOD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
SME
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |