De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VVS
3 - 3
GRA
9%
14%
77%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
VVV
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRO
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 2
WIL
13%
17%
70%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 4
WIL
34%
25%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |