De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
GRA
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
VVV
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 2
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
FCE
1 - 2
GRA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCD
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
7 - 1
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 2
WIL
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCO
75%
16%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
WIL
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |