De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 3
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
SCH
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +2 |