Eerste Divisie Round 13

De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht analysis

De Graafschap MVV Maastricht
69 ELO 63
7.5% Tilt -1.1%
654º General ELO ranking 1431º
22º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
59%
De Graafschap
22.3%
Draw
18.7%
MVV Maastricht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
De Graafschap
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Win probability
MVV Maastricht
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
De Graafschap
-3%
-22%
MVV Maastricht

ELO progression

De Graafschap
MVV Maastricht
HFC Haarlem
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2009
BVV
SC Veendam
1 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
30%
27%
44%
69 58 11 0
09 Oct. 2009
HEL
Helmond Sport
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
44%
26%
30%
68 65 3 +1
02 Oct. 2009
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 0
Dordrecht
FCD
44%
25%
31%
67 69 2 +1
27 Sep. 2009
APE
AGOVV Apeldoorn
2 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
43%
25%
32%
67 60 7 0
23 Sep. 2009
PSV
PSV
2 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
75%
17%
8%
67 88 21 0

Matches

MVV Maastricht
MVV Maastricht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2009
MVV
MVV Maastricht
3 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
45%
26%
30%
63 65 2 0
09 Oct. 2009
MVV
MVV Maastricht
2 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
61%
23%
16%
62 57 5 +1
02 Oct. 2009
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
2 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
57%
23%
20%
63 67 4 -1
25 Sep. 2009
FCO
TOP Oss
3 - 2
MVV Maastricht
MVV
37%
26%
37%
63 56 7 0
22 Sep. 2009
SPA
Spakenburg
3 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
27%
24%
49%
64 49 15 -1