Eerste Divisie Round 17

De Graafschap vs Jong Twente analysis

De Graafschap Jong Twente
65 ELO 54
22.1% Tilt -0.1%
657º General ELO ranking 22398º
22º Country ELO ranking 429º
ELO win probability
66.8%
De Graafschap
19.6%
Draw
13.6%
Jong Twente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
De Graafschap
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
Jong Twente
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

De Graafschap
Jong Twente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2014
PSV
Jong PSV
3 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
39%
27%
34%
65 59 6 0
28 Nov. 2014
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
38%
24%
38%
66 70 4 -1
21 Nov. 2014
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
32%
27%
41%
66 58 8 0
08 Nov. 2014
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
59%
22%
20%
65 61 4 +1
01 Nov. 2014
GRA
De Graafschap
5 - 0
Helmond Sport
HEL
59%
21%
19%
64 59 5 +1

Matches

Jong Twente
Jong Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2014
JON
Jong Twente
1 - 1
Den Bosch
BOS
31%
26%
43%
55 60 5 0
28 Nov. 2014
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
5 - 1
Jong Twente
JON
70%
19%
11%
56 70 14 -1
21 Nov. 2014
EIN
FC Eindhoven
0 - 1
Jong Twente
JON
66%
20%
14%
55 65 10 +1
08 Nov. 2014
JON
Jong Twente
2 - 2
Achilles 29
ACH
58%
22%
20%
55 49 6 0
03 Nov. 2014
JON
Jong Twente
3 - 3
FC Volendam
VOL
18%
24%
58%
54 69 15 +1