De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
21%
27%
51%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
TWE
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
RKC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |