De Graafschap vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
5 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
NEC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 3
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |