De Graafschap vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HEL
2 - 2
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 2
GRA
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 1
ALM
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
HEL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 2
FCO
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 1
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
GAE
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |