De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
BOS
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
3 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 3
UTR
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 3
BOS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |