De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BVO
2 - 3
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 6
PSV
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
HER
47%
23%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 1
FCO
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |