Serie D Group A Round 11

Gozzano vs Oltrepo FBC analysis

Gozzano Oltrepo FBC
42 ELO 20
-21.3% Tilt -21.1%
4722º General ELO ranking 8521º
164º Country ELO ranking 313º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Gozzano
17.7%
Draw
12.8%
Oltrepo FBC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
Gozzano
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
Oltrepo FBC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gozzano
+38%
+36%
Oltrepo FBC

Points and table prediction

Gozzano
Their league position
Oltrepo FBC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
20º
40
13º
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AS Bra
78
82
100%
NovaRomentin
71
75
99%
Gozzano
65
69
29.5%
Vado FC
65
69
26%
Lavagnese
64
68
28.5%
Città di Varese
62
66
59%
Ligorna
58
62
89.5%
Chisola Calcio
50
54
48%
Saluzzo
50
54
45.5%
ASD Asti
11º
45
49
10º
33%
Sanremese
10º
45
49
11º
30%
Derthona
12º
44
48
12º
36.5%
Oltrepo FBC
13º
40
43
13º
47%
Imperia
14º
38
41
14º
30%
Voghera
15º
37
41
15º
32.5%
US Cairese
16º
37
40
16º
37%
Albenga
20º
0
35
17º
17.5%
Chieri
17º
31
34
18º
42%
Borgaro Nobis
18º
28
31
19º
45%
Fossano Calcio
19º
26
29
20º
61%
Expected probabilities
Gozzano
Oltrepo FBC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
84% 0%
Mid-table
16% 88%
Relegation play-offs
0% 12%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gozzano
Oltrepo FBC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gozzano
Gozzano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2024
CCA
Chisola Calcio
0 - 2
Gozzano
GOZ
60%
22%
18%
40 47 7 0
19 Oct. 2024
GOZ
Gozzano
2 - 0
Chieri
CHI
55%
23%
22%
39 33 6 +1
13 Oct. 2024
LAV
Lavagnese
0 - 0
Gozzano
GOZ
60%
22%
18%
39 42 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
GOZ
Gozzano
1 - 1
NovaRomentin
SNR
30%
26%
44%
38 45 7 +1
02 Oct. 2024
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 1
Gozzano
GOZ
73%
17%
10%
38 48 10 0

Matches

Oltrepo FBC
Oltrepo FBC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2024
OLT
Oltrepo FBC
2 - 2
Borgaro Nobis
BOR
30%
21%
49%
19 25 6 0
19 Oct. 2024
ASD
AS Bra
4 - 1
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
70%
18%
12%
19 53 34 0
13 Oct. 2024
OLT
Oltrepo FBC
1 - 0
Sanremese
SAN
14%
18%
68%
13 44 31 +6
06 Oct. 2024
CHI
Chieri
1 - 2
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
75%
16%
10%
12 34 22 +1
02 Oct. 2024
OLT
Oltrepo FBC
2 - 2
Città di Varese
ASD
15%
20%
65%
7 48 41 +5