Gozzano vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 1
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
BOR
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 0
GOZ
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
GOZ
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 2
FOS
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
AST
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
SNR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 5
COM
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |