Goytre AFC vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GOY
4 - 3
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GOY
1 - 2
GOY
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GOY
2 - 3
TON
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
GOY
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
GOY
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
8 - 2
TON
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PON
1 - 3
CAE
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 4
CAE
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |