Goytacaz vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 3
GOY
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GOY
5 - 1
QUE
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
GOY
29%
25%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CER
1 - 1
GOY
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
GOY
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 4
AME
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
OLA
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |