Goytacaz vs Itaborai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
FRI
5 - 0
GOY
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 2
AME
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
GOY
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
AUD
4 - 1
GOY
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 1
QUE
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CER
0 - 4
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
SCR
1 - 4
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
ITA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |