Goytacaz vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
GOY
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
GOY
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 0
RBC
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GOY
2 - 1
QUI
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
QUI
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
33%
25%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
CER
6 - 0
TIG
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
CER
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
AUD
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |