Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Subida Norte Round 5

Gouveia U19 vs Machico U19 analysis

Gouveia U19 Machico U19
35 ELO 14
2.4% Tilt -2.2%
7874º General ELO ranking 13812º
185º Country ELO ranking 241º
ELO win probability
83%
Gouveia U19
10.8%
Draw
6.2%
Machico U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
Gouveia U19
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.2%
Win probability
Machico U19
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gouveia U19
+13%
+365%
Machico U19

ELO progression

Gouveia U19
Machico U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gouveia U19
Gouveia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
1 - 1
Gouveia U19
GOU
48%
23%
29%
34 37 3 0
08 Mar. 2025
GOU
Gouveia U19
0 - 4
Paços de Ferreira U19
PAÇ
25%
24%
52%
36 46 10 -2
01 Mar. 2025
GOU
Gouveia U19
0 - 2
Vizela U19
VIZ
22%
23%
56%
37 49 12 -1
22 Feb. 2025
MOR
Moreirense U19
1 - 2
Gouveia U19
GOU
57%
20%
23%
36 42 6 +1
08 Feb. 2025
GOU
Gouveia U19
1 - 1
SC Covilha U19
SPC
78%
13%
9%
36 20 16 0

Matches

Machico U19
Machico U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
MAC
Machico U19
0 - 5
Moreirense U19
MOR
12%
16%
72%
16 41 25 0
22 Mar. 2025
MAC
Machico U19
0 - 3
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
12%
16%
73%
16 37 21 0
15 Mar. 2025
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira U19
8 - 1
Machico U19
MAC
88%
8%
4%
16 47 31 0
08 Mar. 2025
VIZ
Vizela U19
10 - 1
Machico U19
MAC
80%
13%
7%
17 50 33 -1
02 Mar. 2025
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
1 - 0
Machico U19
MAC
76%
15%
10%
17 37 20 0