Gourbeyre vs CS Capesterre Bell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
1
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gourbeyre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 2
VIE
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
1 - 1
GOU
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
GOU
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
CBM
35%
23%
41%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 2
GOU
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CS Capesterre Bell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
SIR
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ASD
5 - 0
CSC
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
CSC
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 2
GOU
44%
23%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |