Gorleston vs Redbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
15º
10º
47
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorleston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
LOW
2 - 3
GOR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 0
HEY
21%
24%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
WRO
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NSA
2 - 0
GOR
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Redbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RED
2 - 0
WHI
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
RED
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RED
2 - 3
WAL
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
RED
2 - 4
LOW
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |