Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar round 17

Gonsenheim vs Mechtersheim analysis

Gonsenheim Mechtersheim
38 ELO 28
10.1% Tilt 4%
4395º General ELO ranking 7386º
136º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
73.7%
Gonsenheim
15%
Draw
11.3%
Mechtersheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
Gonsenheim
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.3%
Win probability
Mechtersheim
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gonsenheim
-9%
-51%
Mechtersheim

Points and table prediction

Gonsenheim
Their league position
Mechtersheim
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
12º
48
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Trier
99
99
100%
Gonsenheim
78
78
100%
FK Pirmasens
72
72
100%
Kaiserslautern II
68
68
100%
Wormatia Worms
66
66
100%
RW Koblenz
61
61
0%
Auersmacher
61
61
0%
Morlautern
58
58
100%
Diefflen
55
55
100%
Engers 07
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Karbach
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Mechtersheim
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cosmos Koblenz
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dudenhofen
16º
42
42
16º
100%
VfR Baumholder
17º
35
35
17º
100%
SpVgg Quierschied
18º
30
30
18º
0%
Pfeddersheim
19º
30
30
19º
0%
FC Bitburg
20º
20
20
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gonsenheim
Mechtersheim
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gonsenheim
Mechtersheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gonsenheim
Gonsenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2023
KAR
Karbach
3 - 4
Gonsenheim
GON
29%
22%
50%
37 29 8 0
03 Oct. 2023
GON
Gonsenheim
1 - 4
Morlautern
MOR
77%
14%
9%
38 27 11 -1
30 Sep. 2023
EIN
Eintracht Trier
3 - 0
Gonsenheim
GON
46%
25%
29%
39 41 2 -1
23 Sep. 2023
GON
Gonsenheim
0 - 1
VfR Baumholder
VRB
91%
7%
3%
40 13 27 -1
16 Sep. 2023
GON
Gonsenheim
5 - 1
Pfeddersheim
PFE
79%
13%
9%
40 27 13 0

Matches

Mechtersheim
Mechtersheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2023
WWO
Wormatia Worms
2 - 1
Mechtersheim
MEC
79%
14%
7%
28 45 17 0
07 Oct. 2023
MEC
Mechtersheim
2 - 2
Morlautern
MOR
43%
23%
34%
28 30 2 0
03 Oct. 2023
VRB
VfR Baumholder
1 - 1
Mechtersheim
MEC
14%
17%
70%
28 14 14 0
30 Sep. 2023
MEC
Mechtersheim
3 - 0
Pfeddersheim
PFE
46%
22%
32%
27 25 2 +1
23 Sep. 2023
BIT
FC Bitburg
1 - 1
Mechtersheim
MEC
12%
16%
73%
28 13 15 -1