Campeonato de Portugal Grupo B round 17

Gondomar vs Guarda Desportiva analysis

Gondomar Guarda Desportiva
41 ELO 25
-2.8% Tilt -19.6%
6488º General ELO ranking 48167º
115º Country ELO ranking 1165º
ELO win probability
79%
Gondomar
12.9%
Draw
8.1%
Guarda Desportiva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
Gondomar
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.1%
Win probability
Guarda Desportiva
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gondomar
Their league position
Guarda Desportiva
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gondomar
Guarda Desportiva
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Gondomar
Guarda Desportiva
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gondomar
Gondomar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
LUS
Lusitania FC
4 - 0
Gondomar
GON
45%
27%
29%
43 40 3 0
22 Jan. 2023
RES
Resende
2 - 1
Gondomar
GON
20%
26%
55%
44 27 17 -1
15 Jan. 2023
GON
Gondomar
1 - 2
SC Salgueiros
SAL
40%
25%
34%
44 46 2 0
08 Jan. 2023
GON
Gondomar
0 - 1
Rebordosa
REB
70%
18%
11%
45 36 9 -1
18 Dec. 2022
ALP
Alpendorada
0 - 1
Gondomar
GON
15%
24%
61%
45 24 21 0

Matches

Guarda Desportiva
Guarda Desportiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
GUA
Guarda Desportiva
0 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
13%
20%
68%
26 47 21 0
22 Jan. 2023
REB
Rebordosa
2 - 0
Guarda Desportiva
GUA
67%
18%
16%
26 36 10 0
15 Jan. 2023
GUA
Guarda Desportiva
2 - 2
Alpendorada
ALP
61%
19%
20%
26 23 3 0
08 Jan. 2023
GUA
Guarda Desportiva
0 - 3
Valadares Gaia
VAL
18%
23%
60%
28 43 15 -2
18 Dec. 2022
CAM
Camacha
4 - 1
Guarda Desportiva
GUA
56%
21%
23%
29 35 6 -1