Gondomar vs Guarda Desportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
7º
10
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 0
GON
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
GON
20%
26%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GON
1 - 2
SAL
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAL
13%
20%
68%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
GUA
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |