Gondomar vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
GON
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GON
4 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GON
2 - 2
FEI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 2
GON
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 3
GON
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FAT
0 - 2
FEI
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAT
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FAT
1 - 2
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 0
FAT
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |