Carioca A2 Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-5
Petrópolis vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PET
2 - 0
AUD
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 0
CMA
24%
23%
54%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 3
CMA
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
PET
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CMA
2 - 2
PET
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PET
2 - 0
AUD
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
AFC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
AUD
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 0
FRI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
AUD
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |