Gomel II vs ABFF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
17º
14º
21
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
OFC
1 - 2
GOM
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
GOM
0 - 5
VOL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
GOM
2 - 5
ORS
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 1
GOM
66%
19%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
GOM
65%
19%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
ABFF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
LID
2 - 1
ABF
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 2
MIN
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 0
ABF
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
1 - 3
VOL
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |