Goiriz vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+162%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 0
GOI
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 1
COS
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 1
GOI
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 0
LOU
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VDO
2 - 1
GOI
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 8
FOL
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
COM
4 - 1
CSA
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ROU
4 - 1
COM
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
COS
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
6 - 1
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |