Goian FC vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
GOI
68%
16%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GOI
4 - 1
DOM
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 1
GOI
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 3
ALE
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TYD
3 - 0
GOI
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
GON
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 6
PRO
71%
15%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
DOM
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 1
PRO
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |