Goiânia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
3 - 0
GOI
84%
13%
3%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
0 - 2
ATL
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
OVD
1 - 0
GOI
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
GOI
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 3
ATL
6%
16%
77%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
APA
3 - 0
JAT
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
APA
1 - 0
OVD
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ABC
3 - 1
APA
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
APA
0 - 1
CSA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |