Goianésia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 3
AGU
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 2
GOI
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 0
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 0
CRA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
APA
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
LTD
44%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
GOI
7%
15%
78%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
APA
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |