Goian B vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goian B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OIE
2 - 1
GOI
25%
20%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
5 - 1
SDC
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
5 - 1
OLI
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
GOI
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TEB
3 - 2
GOI
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
GUI
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
TEB
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 4
PRO
34%
22%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 4
PRO
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |