GOES vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RKA
4 - 4
GOE
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GOE
2 - 2
DEL
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DOS
1 - 1
GOE
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GOE
1 - 3
KON
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
GOE
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 2
EDO
37%
24%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
WES
4 - 0
NIE
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 0
HOL
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VOC
3 - 1
NIE
43%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RKA
1 - 1
NIE
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |