GOES vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 3
GOE
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GOE
1 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZEE
1 - 4
GOE
16%
19%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GOE
3 - 1
NEM
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
GOE
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 2
HVC
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ROO
0 - 2
GEL
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 4
MOC
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
WSC
3 - 2
GEL
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 2
ZEE
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |