GOES vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
GOE
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VVS
2 - 2
GOE
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 2
DOV
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 2
DVS
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TER
3 - 2
GOE
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 1
EXC
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STE
0 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |