GOES vs EFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
GOE
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GOE
3 - 0
JEK
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VLI
1 - 1
GOE
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GOE
4 - 3
WSC
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GOE
0 - 2
PSV
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 1
NEM
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
WSC
1 - 5
EFC
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EFC
3 - 2
RKV
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VLI
0 - 0
EFC
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 2
EFC
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |