GOES vs DHC Delft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DOS
1 - 1
GOE
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GOE
1 - 3
KON
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
GOE
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 0
DEZ
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +5 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GOE
2 - 2
DED
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DHC Delft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 3
EDO
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
WES
4 - 1
DEL
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 0
HOL
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 4
DEL
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RKA
3 - 3
DEL
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |