Go Ahead vs DZOH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
12º
6º
37
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VVH
2 - 4
GOA
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 3
SVZ
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GOA
2 - 2
SDV
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 1
GOA
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 2
SVZ
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
DZOH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DZO
1 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
DZO
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DZO
2 - 3
BRO
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LTC
1 - 0
DZO
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ORA
2 - 4
DZO
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |