Gloucester City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 0
WOR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
GLO
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
0 - 1
BOS
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 4
SOL
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
GLO
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 4
EAS
31%
24%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 3
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 2
COR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 1
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
WOR
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |