Glentoran vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GLE
3 - 3
GLE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
GLE
3 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
GLE
5 - 3
POR
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BAL
0 - 0
GLE
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LIS
3 - 4
BAL
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
4 - 1
LIS
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LIS
1 - 3
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |