Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
12º
10º
76
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
CLI
23%
24%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GLE
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 4
HAR
50%
22%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
QUB
1 - 3
GLE
23%
20%
57%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 9
LIN
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIN
26%
22%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |