NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 8

Glenavon vs Linfield analysis

Glenavon Linfield
54 ELO 73
12.1% Tilt 8%
1898º General ELO ranking 1507º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20%
Glenavon
23.2%
Draw
56.8%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
Glenavon
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.9%
Win probability
Linfield
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-23%
+16%
Linfield

ELO progression

Glenavon
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2010
GLE
Glenavon
5 - 1
Portstewart
POR
72%
17%
11%
54 36 18 0
11 Sep. 2010
CRU
Crusaders
5 - 4
Glenavon
GLE
70%
18%
12%
55 63 8 -1
04 Sep. 2010
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 1
Glentoran
GLE
24%
24%
52%
55 69 14 0
31 Aug. 2010
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
47%
25%
28%
54 58 4 +1
28 Aug. 2010
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
47%
26%
28%
56 55 1 -2

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2010
LIN
Linfield
4 - 0
Killymoon Rangers
KRF
82%
13%
5%
72 31 41 0
11 Sep. 2010
LIN
Linfield
0 - 0
Cliftonville
CLI
52%
26%
22%
72 68 4 0
31 Aug. 2010
NEW
Newry City
1 - 2
Linfield
LIN
19%
24%
58%
72 56 16 0
28 Aug. 2010
LIN
Linfield
1 - 0
Coleraine
COL
64%
22%
15%
72 60 12 0
21 Aug. 2010
LIN
Linfield
1 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
68%
20%
12%
72 58 14 0