NIFL Premiership round 25

Glenavon vs Institute analysis

Glenavon Institute
63 ELO 51
11.3% Tilt 28.7%
1730º General ELO ranking 2852º
11º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Glenavon
17.2%
Draw
10.2%
Institute

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
Institute
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
+11%
-7%
Institute

ELO progression

Glenavon
Institute
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2020
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 2
Coleraine
COL
25%
23%
52%
64 75 11 0
01 Jan. 2020
CLI
Cliftonville
1 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
54%
22%
24%
65 70 5 -1
28 Dec. 2019
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
77%
15%
8%
65 49 16 0
26 Dec. 2019
GLE
Glenavon
5 - 0
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
69%
19%
12%
64 54 10 +1
20 Dec. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
43%
23%
34%
65 64 1 -1

Matches

Institute
Institute
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2020
INS
Institute
2 - 3
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
40%
24%
36%
52 52 0 0
01 Jan. 2020
LIN
Linfield
3 - 0
Institute
INS
80%
14%
6%
52 76 24 0
28 Dec. 2019
INS
Institute
0 - 3
Carrick Rangers
CAR
36%
26%
38%
53 59 6 -1
26 Dec. 2019
INS
Institute
0 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
58%
22%
20%
54 48 6 -1
21 Dec. 2019
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 2
Institute
INS
49%
24%
28%
54 54 0 0