Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 2
GLE
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 3
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
3 - 3
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
INS
0 - 3
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
INS
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |