Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis


64	ELO	71
13.1%	Tilt	19.7%
1854º	General ELO ranking	1592º
11º	Country ELO ranking	10º
ELO win probability

34.7%

Glenavon

25.5%

Draw

39.8%

Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

34.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%

25.5%

Draw

0-0

6.3%

1-1

12%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

25.5%

39.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-12%

-15%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

34

6º

12º

9º

55

1º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	80	80	1º	100%
2º	78	78	2º	100%
3º	70	70	3º	100%
4º	56	56	4º	100%
5º	55	55	5º	100%
6º	41	41	6º	100%
7º	39	39	7º	100%
8º	38	38	8º	100%
9º	34	34	9º	100%
10º	32	32	10º	100%
11º	19	19	11º	100%
12º	17	17	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs for the title	0%	100%
Relegation play-offs	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Dec. 2023	GLE 0 - 2 LIN 38% 26% 36%	66	71	5	0
08 Dec. 2023	LAR 4 - 1 GLE 51% 24% 25%	66	71	5	0
05 Dec. 2023	COL 2 - 3 GLE 51% 23% 27%	65	71	6	+1
02 Dec. 2023	GLE 1 - 1 COL 35% 26% 39%	65	71	6	0
28 Nov. 2023	LIM 0 - 1 GLE 18% 19% 64%	64	53	11	+1

Matches

Crusaders

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Dec. 2023	CRU 0 - 3 LAR 48% 26% 26%	71	71	0	0
08 Dec. 2023	CAR 0 - 1 CRU 19% 23% 58%	71	57	14	0
02 Dec. 2023	CRU 1 - 1 NEW 77% 16% 7%	71	52	19	0
25 Nov. 2023	CLI 3 - 0 CRU 44% 25% 31%	71	71	0	0
11 Nov. 2023	LOU 1 - 2 CRU 38% 25% 37%	69	66	3	+2