Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
9º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
GLE
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
GLE
21%
20%
59%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
LAR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
CRU
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |