Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
POR
4 - 0
GLE
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
KIL
1 - 0
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
GLE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 2
OMA
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |