NIFL Premiership Round 23

Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis

Glenavon Crusaders
65 ELO 72
8.4% Tilt 0.7%
1903º General ELO ranking 1610º
13º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Glenavon
26.2%
Draw
30.4%
Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-27%
-20%
Crusaders

ELO progression

Glenavon
Crusaders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1998
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
49%
24%
27%
64 66 2 0
26 Dec. 1997
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
61%
22%
18%
65 69 4 -1
20 Dec. 1997
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 0
Glentoran
GLE
50%
25%
24%
65 68 3 0
13 Dec. 1997
OMA
Omagh Town
2 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
50%
25%
26%
65 63 2 0
06 Dec. 1997
LIN
Linfield
1 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
46%
28%
26%
65 67 2 0

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 0
Coleraine
COL
59%
22%
19%
72 70 2 0
01 Jan. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
75%
17%
8%
72 55 17 0
20 Dec. 1997
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
63%
21%
16%
72 66 6 0
13 Dec. 1997
POR
Portadown
3 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
53%
24%
23%
72 69 3 0
06 Dec. 1997
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
45%
27%
28%
72 67 5 0