Glenavon vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
RRF
95%
4%
1%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 3
WAR
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
15%
18%
68%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 3
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |