Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
18º
5º
41
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
0 - 1
RAK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PLO
1 - 0
PGL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PGL
1 - 1
SLA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GÓR
3 - 3
PGL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
PGL
2 - 1
MIE
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WLO
0 - 0
RAK
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
WLO
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WLO
2 - 0
CRA
28%
28%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
WLO
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
5 - 5
WLO
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |