Gippsland Falcons vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
PLI
3 - 0
GIF
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
GIF
0 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1993 |
SYD
3 - 0
GIF
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
GIF
2 - 1
WAD
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 1
GIF
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1993 |
NCB
1 - 3
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1993 |
NCB
4 - 1
PLI
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 1
NCB
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1993 |
NCB
3 - 1
SYD
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
WAD
1 - 2
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |